I am leaning toward the T&T tub mounted one but some things bug me about it. The other option would be the Hanson hybrid combo with has an upper hinge and rollbar tie-ins
There might be a "good" bumper-mounted spare-tire carrier but there are so many bad ones. And most of the bad ones come from some "fab guy's" garage or only cost $500 (Olympic or Smittybuilt). If it's going to work it's going to be double-sheer at the spindle, just for starters.
I would never run a bumper mounted spare!
Then you've got guys that think if it's body mounted then it's some trickery and hours of time that keeps them from opening their tailgate.
OR-Fab has an outstanding, easy-to-open body-mounted tire carrier.
AEV has an outstanding double-sheer spindle bumper setup that is also attached to the tailgate that has the design features that could work, but that's a JK offering.
Hanson also has something similar (double sheer/body mounted) for a TJ that could work, but it's not a nice looking setup, which Hanson is normally known for.
The biggest thing that people don't pay enough attention to is the departure angle of the tire. Using the tire as a skid is really hard on any carrier. So forget about the low-hanging-tire setups to begin with.
And does one really need a can carrier making the departure angle even worse? Keep it high and tight.